Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.353320 3.921946 4.527481 5.217202 5.977903 6.788236 7.713618
2024-10-06 2.710251 3.527331 4.459972 5.589765 6.907749 8.383608 10.147811
2024-10-13 2.205269 3.173034 4.349729 5.853201 7.690407 9.830922 12.480894
2024-10-20 1.774210 2.817293 4.164369 5.971146 8.270518 11.041005 14.571264
2024-10-27 1.382321 2.432525 3.874056 5.900482 8.579016 11.906037 16.254946
2024-11-03 1.152841 2.226209 3.780558 6.053794 9.152956 13.096728 18.355273
2024-11-10 0.956347 2.028591 3.665189 6.150117 9.635731 14.168997 20.320829
2024-11-17 0.748967 1.769550 3.421286 6.032000 9.804360 14.820898 21.749853
2024-11-24 0.577679 1.532789 3.175709 5.878877 9.899064 15.359458 23.027214
2024-12-01 0.460631 1.367833 3.020041 5.838660 10.137925 16.084666 24.553348
2024-12-08 0.360775 1.210637 2.853842 5.761373 10.308047 16.708710 25.946708
2024-12-15 0.320776 1.174197 2.893688 6.011240 10.966282 18.021385 28.291223
2024-12-22 0.262644 1.081692 2.823695 6.081769 11.366699 18.997741 30.222734
2024-12-29 0.238162 1.068261 2.902084 6.405399 12.166263 20.562157 32.997400
2025-01-05 0.209083 1.033873 2.934411 6.649620 12.848707 21.972523 35.583878
2025-01-12 0.173126 0.966873 2.891292 6.756115 13.314438 23.076030 37.758686
2025-01-19 0.130519 0.859474 2.747023 6.668102 13.460955 23.710246 39.279010
2025-01-26 0.109882 0.818347 2.741085 6.829751 14.013158 24.951273 41.675698
2025-02-02 0.089594 0.767952 2.706205 6.931928 14.466500 26.048956 43.879030
2025-02-09 0.063735 0.675502 2.556788 6.802084 14.524568 26.548213 45.225122
2025-02-16 0.042900 0.585672 2.396297 6.634744 14.507091 26.925645 46.393904
2025-02-23 0.030288 0.525991 2.302086 6.590639 14.694707 27.616497 48.025135
2025-03-02 0.020048 0.465568 2.193447 6.506297 14.805200 28.185526 49.481086